
GOING CONCERN AND VIABILITY STATEMENT CONTINUED
GOING CONCERN CONTINUED
•
Deferral of capital expenditure – the
base case capital investment over the next
12 months is lower than recent years with
major projects now completed. This could
be reduced further by limiting expenditure
to essential projects and deferring all
other projects later into 2026 or beyond;
•
Reduction in discretionary overheads
– costs would be limited to prioritise and
support customer-related activity;
•
Further reduction in inventory levels
– the elevated inventory level seen at
theend of FY 2023 has been partially
unwound across FY 2024 and FY 2025
with a further reduction targeted in
FY2026. The scenarios noted above
include an acceleration of the inventory
unwind but a more aggressive approach
could be taken to provide additional
cashresources; and
•
Reduction/deferral/cancellation of
dividends – the Board considers the
cash position and interests of all
stakeholders before recommending
payment of a dividend. A dividend has
been proposed for payment in February
2026 of c.£40m and in the past an
interim dividend of c.£12m has been paid
in July, giving a combined annual
outflow of c.£52m.
Reverse stress testing was performed to
identify the level that sales would need to
drop by in order for the Group or Company
to be unable to meet its liabilities as they fall
due before the end of the going concern
assessment period. Sales volumes would
need to consistently drop materially below
the low point in scenario 2 which is not
considered plausible.
As a result of this detailed assessment and
with reference to the Group and Company’s
strong balance sheet, existing committed
facilities and the cash preserving levers at
the Group and Company’s disposal, but
alsoacknowledging the current economic
uncertainty created by the increase in global
tariffs, particularly in the US, the depressed
chemical sector and the war in Ukraine
continuing, the Board has concluded that
both the Group and Company have sufficient
liquidity to meet their obligations when they
fall due for a period of at least 12 months
after the date of this report. For this reason,
they continue to adopt the going concern
basis for preparing the financialstatements.
VIABILITY STATEMENT
1. Assessment of prospects
The Directors have assessed the Group’s
longer-term prospects, primarily with
reference to the results of the Board-
approved five-year strategic plan. This is
driven by the Group’s business model
(detailed on pages8 and 9) and strategy
(detailed on page 10 to 13), which are
fundamental to understanding the future
direction of the business, while factoring
inthe Group’s principal risks (detailed on
pages 28 to 34) and the potential
opportunities and risks of climate change
(detailed on pages 46 to 47). The Directors
continue to consider the ongoing challenges
to the global economy, including the impact
on each market and geography which the
Group serves, and the uncertainty this
creates, particularly in the early years of
thestrategic plan. The Directors have also
considered the Group’s ability to generate
cash, manage shareholder returns and
maintain a strong financial position
throughout the economic cycle, including
the level of cash and overall net debt at
30September 2025.
The strategic planning process is undertaken
annually and includes analyses of profit
performance (including core business and new
product pipeline and ‘mega-programmes’),
cash flow, investment programmes (including
manufacturing capacity increases and
theacquisition pipeline) and returns to
shareholders. Completion of the strategic
plan is a Group-wide process engaging
employees throughout the business,
including all senior management in their
respective areas. The strategy was reviewed
and approved by the Board in March 2025
(covering the five years to September 2030).
The strategy is built market by market,
geography by geography recognising the
differing dynamics in each whilst also
considering the longer-term impact of the
Company achieving its goal of Net Zero
across all scopes by 2050, including reducing
2022 Scope 1 & 2 emissions by 50% by
theinterim testing date of 2032, combined
with the wider global ambition to reduce
carbon usage. The Company also operates
ashorter-term rolling 24-month forecast,
predicated on the IBP process, which forms
the basis for the 2026 budget and key
operational decisions over this shorter time
frame. The first year of the strategy has been
realigned to the 2026 budget, taking account
of changes to the economic outlook since
the strategy was finalised, with subsequent
years reviewed and updated where the
revisions to the first two years are expected to
have a consequential impact, either positive
or negative. The realigned strategy was
approved by the Board alongside the 2026
budget in October 2025 and has also been
used for the annual impairment review
detailed on page 149.
2. Viability period
The Directors have assessed the viability
ofthe Group over the five-year period to
September 2030, being the period covered by
the Group’s Board-approved strategic plan.
The Board considers five years to be an
appropriate time horizon for the strategic
plan, being the period over which the Group
actively focuses on its development pipeline
and resulting capital investment programme.
As part of the longer-term considerations,
tosupport capacity planning and assessment
of projects which will take longer to reach
meaningful revenue, the Group does prepare
forecasts for a period of more than five years;
however, a period greater than five years is
considered too long for the strategic plan
given the inherent uncertainties involved.
3. Assessment of viability
To make their assessment of viability, the
Directors have tested a number of additional
scenarios on the base case position of the
five-year strategic plan. These scenarios
encompass key trading assumptions
combined with the potential impact of
crystallisation of one or more of the
principal risks over the five-year period.
Whilst each of the principal risks has a
potential impact, the scenario analysis has
been focused on those considered to have
the most significant financial impact, primarily
to the revenue growth of the Group. The
risks have been assessed for their potential
impact on the Group’s business model,
future trading and funding structure.
The mega-programmes are forecast to have
a material impact on the Company’s revenue
over the strategic period. Progress continues
to be made across the mega-programmes
with milestones being achieved as outlined
in the Strategic report on pages 1 to 67
even though the translation of the progress
into revenue growth has been slower than
anticipated. The timing of future milestone
achievement and the resulting impact on
revenue growth remain the key variables
which the Directors have incorporated into
scenario 3 described below.
The impact on the strategy of both the
Company achieving its goal of Net Zero
across all scopes by 2050 and the wider
economy achieving Net Zero carbon over a
long period continues to be understood and
assessed. The physical risks and transitional
opportunities and risks have been considered
in detail as described in the Sustainability
report on pages 38 to 67. The physical risks
presented by climate change are not
expected to have a material impact on the
Company’s ability to manufacture product
over the strategy period and therefore no
sensitivity has been performed. At the
revenue level the transitional opportunities
are considered to outweigh the risks over
both the short and longer time horizons,
supporting continued growth in Company
revenues, albeit the impact of this is only
likely to be material outside of the five-year
strategy window. The primary transitional risk
relates to the additional capital and operating
costs associated with electrification of the
heat sources used in the manufacturing
processes, which primarily rely on the burning
of gas. Failure to do this will potentially leave
the Group exposed to the likely levers used
by regulators and governments to drive
down use of carbon – taxation and levies.
Work is ongoing to reduce the carbon usage
in the manufacturing process, both through
using green sources of electricity to supply
the aforementioned electrical heat sources
and redesigning the chemical process to
reduce the overall energy requirement and
waste generation. Acknowledging the risk
STRATEGIC REPORT CORPORATE GOVERNANCE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS SHAREHOLDER INFORMATION
36 Victrex plc – Annual Report 2025